Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 46.8%). Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.7% vs Gagner 47.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 53.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 64.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Backlund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
7
(24 meetings)
17
7
Backlund
Gagner
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
4
Backlund
Gagner
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
8
2
Backlund
Gagner
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,002)
45.9% (815)
+1.3%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
55.3% (132)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (170)
25.0% (16)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Backlund is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Backlund shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gagner
Home
48.3% (633)
48.7% (542)
Away
46.7% (689)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Backlund
Gagner
P1
49.2%
45.1%
P2
48.9%
46.6%
P3
45.4%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |