Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Monahan 53.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Backlund
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Backlund
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
54.5% (231)
-2.6%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
58.2% (67)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
52.2% (23)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Backlund
Monahan
Home
51.9% (673)
53.5% (144)
Away
49.9% (713)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Backlund
Monahan
P1
51.4%
52.5%
P2
50.5%
50.9%
P3
51.4%
60.8%
OT
35.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |