Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Monahan 52.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 89.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 79.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Backlund
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Backlund
Monahan
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
1
Backlund
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
52.4% (853)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
58.6% (174)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
46.5% (144)
-5.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Backlund
Monahan
Home
48.7% (749)
53.4% (624)
Away
48.1% (703)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Backlund
Monahan
P1
50.4%
53.7%
P2
50.1%
52.4%
P3
45.8%
51.6%
OT
30.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |