Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Backlund
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Backlund
Monahan
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
7
Backlund
Monahan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
2
Backlund
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Backlund
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
57.1% (871)
-6.1%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
53.1% (262)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
44.6% (139)
-2.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Backlund
Monahan
Home
51.2% (782)
55.3% (644)
Away
49.4% (765)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Backlund
Monahan
P1
51.5%
53.9%
P2
49.8%
55.3%
P3
49.9%
54.4%
OT
37.5%
76.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |