Mikael Backlund vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Stamkos 54.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 89.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 66.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Backlund
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Backlund
Stamkos
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Backlund
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (880)
55.8% (339)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
53.3% (90)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (276)
62.5% (8)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Backlund shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stamkos
Home
48.0% (567)
53.4% (208)
Away
51.1% (653)
57.2% (229)
By Period
Backlund
Stamkos
P1
45.0%
55.3%
P2
54.7%
52.5%
P3
49.0%
58.9%
OT
41.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
48.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Stamkos
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |