Mikael Backlund vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 49-40 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 74.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Backlund
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
40
(89 meetings)
49
40
Backlund
Stamkos
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
18
19
Backlund
Stamkos
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
19
15
Backlund
Stamkos
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
12
6
Backlund
Stamkos
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
50.4% (9,799)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
55.1% (1,725)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
49.7% (825)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stamkos
Home
49.7% (8,565)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Backlund
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
49.1%
P2
50.3%
52.7%
P3
48.4%
50.9%
OT
44.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |