Mikael Backlund vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Backlund
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
55.9% (499)
-4.9%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
56.3% (126)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
58.3% (12)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (782)
55.3% (349)
Away
49.4% (765)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Backlund
Stamkos
P1
51.5%
57.0%
P2
49.8%
59.2%
P3
49.9%
51.5%
OT
37.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |