Mikael Backlund vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 85.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Backlund
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Backlund
Stamkos
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
4
Backlund
Stamkos
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backlund
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
49.3% (670)
+1.1%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
53.7% (121)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
33.3% (3)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stamkos
Home
48.7% (749)
54.0% (400)
Away
48.1% (703)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Backlund
Stamkos
P1
50.4%
48.6%
P2
50.1%
54.5%
P3
45.8%
45.4%
OT
30.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |