Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backlund wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.0% vs Oshie 48.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 80.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 83.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Backlund
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backlund
Oshie
Last 6: Backlund 3-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Backlund
Oshie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Oshie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Backlund
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (1,070)
43.1% (58)
+8.0%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
50.3% (143)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (248)
40.0% (10)
+5.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).
Backlund shoots left. Oshie is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Backlund
Oshie
Home
49.3% (702)
51.8% (110)
Away
50.7% (708)
43.6% (101)
By Period
Backlund
Oshie
P1
46.3%
47.7%
P2
53.8%
46.5%
P3
49.9%
47.8%
OT
45.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |