Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Oshie 45.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 77.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Backlund
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backlund
Oshie
Last 6: Backlund 3-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
3
Backlund
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
57.7% (26)
-6.2%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
41.3% (138)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
0.0% (5)
+45.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Backlund
Oshie
Home
51.6% (653)
41.0% (78)
Away
49.3% (576)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Backlund
Oshie
P1
50.0%
42.6%
P2
49.8%
41.9%
P3
51.7%
41.8%
OT
53.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |