Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +22.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Oshie 43.4% (+22.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 73.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 96.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 78.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 96.9%
96.9%
3.1%
Backlund
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Backlund
Oshie
Last 5: Backlund 5-0 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
0
Backlund
Oshie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
30.0% (30)
+21.0%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
23.1% (13)
+36.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Oshie is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Backlund
Oshie
Home
51.2% (782)
22.2% (27)
Away
49.4% (765)
37.5% (16)
By Period
Backlund
Oshie
P1
51.5%
28.6%
P2
49.8%
36.4%
P3
49.9%
18.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
27.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |