Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Oshie 47.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 55.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 92.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 73.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Backlund
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Backlund
Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Backlund
Oshie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
48.3% (29)
+3.6%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
46.3% (149)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
0.0% (2)
+44.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Backlund
Oshie
Home
51.9% (673)
55.9% (93)
Away
49.9% (713)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Backlund
Oshie
P1
51.4%
50.9%
P2
50.5%
42.9%
P3
51.4%
43.6%
OT
35.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |