Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Johnson 53.6% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 56.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Backlund
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
61.9% (42)
-10.4%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
55.6% (9)
-6.2%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnson
Home
51.6% (653)
52.0% (25)
Away
49.3% (576)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Backlund
Johnson
P1
50.0%
72.0%
P2
49.8%
66.7%
P3
51.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%