Mikael Backlund vs Wyatt Johnston
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.0% vs Johnston 47.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 82.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 65.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Backlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Backlund
Johnston
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
6
Backlund
Johnston
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
4
Backlund
Johnston
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (1,036)
47.2% (731)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
50.7% (75)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (333)
50.0% (38)
-3.5%
On even strength, Backlund has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Backlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (428).
Backlund shoots left. Johnston is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnston
Home
48.6% (690)
47.6% (414)
Away
51.3% (751)
47.7% (430)
By Period
Backlund
Johnston
P1
46.1%
49.1%
P2
53.5%
47.6%
P3
49.6%
46.6%
OT
54.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.0%
Johnston
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |