Mikael Backlund vs Wyatt Johnston
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Johnston 48.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 77.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.8%
Neutral zone
Johnston 58.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Backlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Backlund
Johnston
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
4
Backlund
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Backlund
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
47.8% (623)
+2.3%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
50.8% (63)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
51.4% (35)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnston
Home
48.1% (580)
47.6% (351)
Away
51.1% (653)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Backlund
Johnston
P1
45.1%
49.6%
P2
54.7%
47.3%
P3
49.0%
48.0%
OT
46.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |