Mikael Backlund vs Wyatt Johnston
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Johnston 48.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 80.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.1%
Neutral zone
Johnston 55.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Backlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Backlund
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Backlund
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (712)
47.2% (458)
+4.1%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
50.9% (55)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (217)
51.6% (31)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Backlund is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Backlund shoots left. Johnston is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnston
Home
49.0% (449)
47.7% (243)
Away
51.8% (531)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Backlund
Johnston
P1
46.9%
48.0%
P2
54.7%
48.2%
P3
49.4%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |