Mikael Backlund vs Wyatt Johnston
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Johnston 51.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 55.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 50.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Backlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Backlund
Johnston
Last 9: Backlund 4-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Backlund
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Backlund
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
52.6% (696)
-2.2%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
52.3% (88)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
42.4% (125)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnston
Home
48.7% (749)
52.8% (458)
Away
48.1% (703)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Backlund
Johnston
P1
50.4%
48.9%
P2
50.1%
52.3%
P3
45.8%
51.4%
OT
30.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |