Mikael Backlund vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.1%). Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Johnston 49.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 17-17 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 50.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Backlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
17
(34 meetings)
17
17
Backlund
Johnston
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
4
Backlund
Johnston
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
5
Backlund
Johnston
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
5
8
Backlund
Johnston
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
49.3% (2,189)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
52.6% (173)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
44.7% (237)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnston
Home
49.7% (8,565)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Backlund
Johnston
P1
48.5%
50.1%
P2
50.3%
48.3%
P3
48.4%
48.8%
OT
44.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |