Mikael Backlund vs Wyatt Johnston
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.2%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Johnston 50.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 52.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Backlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Backlund
Johnston
Last 7: Backlund 5-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
50.7% (552)
+0.3%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
61.5% (13)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
43.5% (69)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnston
Home
51.2% (782)
50.3% (342)
Away
49.4% (765)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Backlund
Johnston
P1
51.5%
54.4%
P2
49.8%
47.2%
P3
49.9%
49.4%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |