Mikael Backlund vs Zack Ostapchuk
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 67.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.8%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
48.3% (271)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
25.0% (4)
+27.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
71.4% (7)
-30.8%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Home
48.7% (749)
49.3% (140)
Away
48.1% (703)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Backlund
Ostapchuk
P1
50.4%
49.1%
P2
50.1%
48.9%
P3
45.8%
47.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |