Mikael Backlund vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 57.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
Ostapchuk
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Backlund
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
48.5% (612)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
28.6% (7)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
46.8% (62)
-2.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Home
49.7% (8,565)
48.6% (319)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Backlund
Ostapchuk
P1
48.5%
48.2%
P2
50.3%
45.8%
P3
48.4%
50.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |