Mikael Backlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 58.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 64.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Backlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Backlund
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Backlund
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
46.3% (147)
+4.7%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
66.7% (3)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
51.1% (47)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Girgensons is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Backlund
Girgensons
Home
51.2% (782)
34.2% (79)
Away
49.4% (765)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Backlund
Girgensons
P1
51.5%
56.5%
P2
49.8%
38.1%
P3
49.9%
47.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |