Mikael Backlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 59.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 64.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Backlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Backlund
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Backlund
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
43.2% (146)
+6.9%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
50.0% (2)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
44.8% (29)
+3.0%
On even strength, Backlund has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Backlund
Girgensons
Home
48.1% (580)
40.3% (72)
Away
51.1% (653)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Backlund
Girgensons
P1
45.1%
43.8%
P2
54.7%
44.6%
P3
49.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |