Mikael Backlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Girgensons leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Girgensons 70.2%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 71.2%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 71.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Backlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Backlund
Girgensons
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
5
Backlund
Girgensons
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
3
5
Backlund
Girgensons
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
4
Backlund
Girgensons
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
45.4% (2,700)
+4.3%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
49.1% (175)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
42.2% (481)
+1.8%
On even strength, Backlund has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Backlund
Girgensons
Home
49.7% (8,565)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Backlund
Girgensons
P1
48.5%
45.7%
P2
50.3%
44.1%
P3
48.4%
45.5%
OT
44.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |