Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mercer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Granlund 47.4% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 51.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 71.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Mercer
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Mercer
Granlund
Last 8: Mercer 4-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
4
0
Mercer
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
4
Mercer
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
47.7% (1,001)
-12.3%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
53.4% (73)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
40.2% (132)
-40.2%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Granlund is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Mercer
Granlund
Home
39.9% (283)
45.9% (582)
Away
31.3% (307)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Mercer
Granlund
P1
37.7%
48.6%
P2
32.1%
46.7%
P3
37.7%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |