Mikael Granlund vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.2%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.0% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.5%
Defensive zone
Granlund 55.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 50.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Granlund
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Granlund
MacKinnon
Last 10: Granlund 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Granlund
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
5
Granlund
MacKinnon
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (885)
45.5% (1,190)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
56.4% (94)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (98)
40.0% (30)
+9.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Granlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Granlund
MacKinnon
Home
51.1% (495)
47.8% (670)
Away
42.9% (557)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Granlund
MacKinnon
P1
49.9%
45.3%
P2
46.4%
48.5%
P3
44.3%
45.0%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |