Mikael Granlund vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 49.9%). Look for Granlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.6% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 65.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 65.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Granlund
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Granlund
MacKinnon
Last 7: Granlund 3-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Granlund
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
1
Granlund
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (588)
49.2% (1,266)
+0.3%
Power Play
60.5% (43)
54.9% (193)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (93)
49.1% (55)
-3.9%
On power play, Granlund has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Granlund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Granlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Granlund
MacKinnon
Home
54.8% (305)
50.9% (740)
Away
45.8% (419)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Granlund
MacKinnon
P1
43.8%
50.9%
P2
51.2%
51.8%
P3
53.9%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |