Mikael Granlund vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 54-51 in 105 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 50.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 51.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 50.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Granlund
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
54
(105 meetings)
51
54
Granlund
MacKinnon
Last 10: Granlund 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
14
17
Granlund
MacKinnon
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
7
15
Granlund
MacKinnon
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
30
22
Granlund
MacKinnon
52 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (6,718)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.7% (748)
53.3% (1,412)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
42.8% (502)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,959).
Granlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Granlund
MacKinnon
Home
50.8% (3,884)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
46.3% (4,217)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Granlund
MacKinnon
P1
48.7%
47.4%
P2
48.7%
46.6%
P3
48.2%
46.1%
OT
44.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |