Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.4% vs Dowd 53.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 94.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 73.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 81.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Granlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Granlund
Dowd
Last 10: Granlund 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
3
1
Granlund
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Granlund
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
9
Granlund
Dowd
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,001)
55.4% (771)
-7.7%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
57.1% (7)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (132)
45.5% (165)
-5.3%
On even strength, Dowd has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Granlund is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Granlund shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Granlund
Dowd
Home
45.9% (582)
58.2% (462)
Away
48.4% (624)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Granlund
Dowd
P1
48.6%
55.6%
P2
46.7%
50.5%
P3
46.9%
53.9%
OT
31.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |