Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.0% vs Dowd 48.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 85.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Granlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Granlund
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Granlund
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (885)
49.2% (778)
-2.5%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
58.3% (12)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (98)
44.0% (234)
+5.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Granlund shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Granlund
Dowd
Home
51.1% (495)
46.3% (492)
Away
42.9% (557)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Granlund
Dowd
P1
49.9%
49.1%
P2
46.4%
48.2%
P3
44.3%
46.9%
OT
25.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
42.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |