Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Granlund wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 45.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 87.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 63.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Granlund
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Granlund
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Granlund
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (295)
55.2% (625)
-8.4%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
57.1% (7)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (63)
38.2% (220)
-1.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Granlund is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Granlund shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Granlund
Dowd
Home
47.8% (178)
53.7% (445)
Away
41.7% (206)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Granlund
Dowd
P1
44.7%
48.8%
P2
42.9%
49.3%
P3
45.7%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
39.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
44.5%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |