Mikael Granlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 57.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (588)
50.3% (479)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.5% (43)
50.0% (28)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (93)
30.0% (50)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Granlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.8% (305)
48.9% (270)
Away
45.8% (419)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.8%
48.7%
P2
51.2%
50.0%
P3
53.9%
47.3%
OT
40.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |