Mikael Granlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 25-23 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 58.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 60.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
23
(48 meetings)
25
23
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Granlund 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
7
11
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
10
4
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (6,718)
44.9% (8,756)
+3.6%
Power Play
52.7% (748)
50.7% (839)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
37.9% (879)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Granlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.8% (3,884)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
46.3% (4,217)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.7%
45.1%
P2
48.7%
43.9%
P3
48.2%
45.3%
OT
44.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |