Mikael Granlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 52.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
47.6% (231)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
83.3% (12)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
33.3% (21)
-2.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Granlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.3% (255)
51.2% (164)
Away
44.4% (351)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Granlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.3%
50.0%
P2
48.8%
46.2%
P3
44.4%
49.5%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |