Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs Carrick 53.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 63.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 58.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Granlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Granlund
Carrick
Last 5: Granlund 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
1
Granlund
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
55.1% (439)
-6.4%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
66.7% (3)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
49.1% (53)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Granlund shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Granlund
Carrick
Home
53.3% (255)
58.2% (225)
Away
44.4% (351)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Granlund
Carrick
P1
51.3%
56.7%
P2
48.8%
52.8%
P3
44.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |