Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.8% vs Carrick 54.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 69.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Granlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Granlund
Carrick
Last 5: Granlund 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
1
Granlund
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (562)
55.6% (477)
-5.4%
Power Play
56.4% (140)
66.7% (3)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (64)
48.3% (60)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Granlund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Granlund shoots left. Carrick is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Granlund
Carrick
Home
53.6% (332)
58.1% (270)
Away
46.8% (434)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Granlund
Carrick
P1
50.0%
56.4%
P2
50.6%
52.5%
P3
48.9%
55.6%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.7%
Carrick
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |