Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs Carrick 52.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 71.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 64.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Granlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Granlund
Carrick
Last 10: Granlund 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
5
3
Granlund
Carrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
3
Granlund
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (6,718)
52.1% (2,513)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.7% (748)
61.3% (75)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
50.7% (430)
-7.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,959).
Granlund shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Granlund
Carrick
Home
50.8% (3,884)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
46.3% (4,217)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Granlund
Carrick
P1
48.7%
51.8%
P2
48.7%
52.2%
P3
48.2%
52.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |