Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.6% vs Carrick 53.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 71.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 56.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Granlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Granlund
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (588)
53.8% (654)
-4.3%
Power Play
60.5% (43)
0.0% (2)
+60.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (93)
63.9% (36)
-18.7%
On power play, Granlund has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Granlund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Granlund shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Granlund
Carrick
Home
54.8% (305)
50.0% (328)
Away
45.8% (419)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Granlund
Carrick
P1
43.8%
56.7%
P2
51.2%
51.1%
P3
53.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |