Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.0% vs Carrick 53.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 70.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 57.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Granlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Granlund
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Granlund
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (885)
53.9% (521)
-7.2%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
57.1% (35)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (98)
51.5% (229)
-2.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Granlund shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Granlund
Carrick
Home
51.1% (495)
52.7% (408)
Away
42.9% (557)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Granlund
Carrick
P1
49.9%
51.4%
P2
46.4%
56.6%
P3
44.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
42.2%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |