Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs Aho 50.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 74.4%
Defensive zone
Granlund 54.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 61.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Granlund
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Granlund
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
0
Granlund
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
50.5% (647)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
54.2% (131)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (51)
38.1% (42)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Granlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Granlund shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Granlund
Aho
Home
57.0% (179)
53.9% (445)
Away
43.0% (307)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Granlund
Aho
P1
53.9%
48.7%
P2
48.2%
51.4%
P3
42.4%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
48.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |