Mikael Granlund vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 68.5%
Defensive zone
Granlund 57.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Granlund
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
21
(44 meetings)
23
21
Granlund
Aho
Last 10: Granlund 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Granlund
Aho
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
9
6
Granlund
Aho
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
7
8
Granlund
Aho
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (6,718)
50.1% (6,619)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.7% (748)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
46.3% (464)
-2.7%
On power play, Aho has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Granlund shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Granlund
Aho
Home
50.8% (3,884)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
46.3% (4,217)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Granlund
Aho
P1
48.7%
51.1%
P2
48.7%
52.0%
P3
48.2%
50.7%
OT
44.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |