Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Granlund wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.4% vs Aho 52.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 59.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 75.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 59.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Granlund
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Granlund
Aho
Last 10: Granlund 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Granlund
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
Granlund
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,001)
51.6% (819)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
58.4% (173)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (132)
46.3% (67)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Granlund shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Granlund
Aho
Home
45.9% (582)
53.9% (568)
Away
48.4% (624)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Granlund
Aho
P1
48.6%
55.4%
P2
46.7%
51.2%
P3
46.9%
50.9%
OT
31.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |