Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs Aho 50.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 68.1%
Defensive zone
Granlund 60.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Granlund
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Granlund
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
0
Granlund
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
49.9% (851)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
53.5% (144)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
43.3% (60)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Granlund shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Granlund
Aho
Home
53.3% (255)
53.2% (554)
Away
44.4% (351)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Granlund
Aho
P1
51.3%
49.1%
P2
48.8%
50.8%
P3
44.4%
49.7%
OT
55.6%
58.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |