Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikko Rantanen
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Rantanen 52.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 93.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 65.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 69.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Last 8: Gaudreau 6-2 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Gaudreau
Rantanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
1
Gaudreau
Rantanen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
55.3% (188)
-6.1%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
46.3% (67)
-7.3%
On power play, Rantanen has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Rantanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Rantanen
Home
47.1% (546)
57.3% (143)
Away
49.4% (551)
47.3% (112)
By Period
Gaudreau
Rantanen
P1
46.8%
47.8%
P2
46.8%
56.8%
P3
51.1%
54.5%
OT
40.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |