Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 92.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Rantanen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rantanen
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Rantanen
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
55.2% (625)
-4.3%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
57.1% (7)
-13.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Rantanen shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Dowd
Home
49.4% (241)
53.7% (445)
Away
48.6% (212)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Rantanen
Dowd
P1
47.1%
48.8%
P2
46.7%
49.3%
P3
51.9%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |