Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.7%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.6%
Defensive zone
Rantanen 53.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Rantanen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Rantanen
Dowd
Last 10: Rantanen 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
7
0
Rantanen
Dowd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
7
Rantanen
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
52.4% (6,009)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
56.1% (164)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.1% (1,635)
-29.8%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rantanen is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (785).
Rantanen shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Dowd
Home
53.0% (1,067)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.3% (946)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Rantanen
Dowd
P1
49.0%
51.7%
P2
51.3%
50.4%
P3
51.8%
50.3%
OT
57.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
47.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |