Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.0% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 68.7%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 52.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 50.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Rantanen
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rantanen
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Rantanen
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (44)
52.4% (42)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Rantanen is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Rantanen shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Lafferty
Home
48.4% (31)
47.8% (23)
Away
51.5% (33)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Rantanen
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
53.3%
P2
33.3%
55.6%
P3
70.6%
47.1%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |