Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+11.7%)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 89.2%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 50.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Rantanen
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
42.6% (324)
+9.1%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
31.3% (16)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.8% (16)
-43.8%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Rantanen shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Lafferty
Home
55.8% (258)
40.9% (181)
Away
51.8% (253)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Rantanen
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
42.2%
P2
56.6%
36.4%
P3
54.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%