Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 47.1% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 82.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 84.1%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 66.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Rantanen
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rantanen
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Rantanen
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (309)
40.9% (232)
+5.4%
Power Play
51.3% (39)
100.0% (1)
-48.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
40.0% (30)
-23.3%
On power play, Lafferty has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Rantanen is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Rantanen shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Lafferty
Home
51.8% (197)
38.2% (123)
Away
39.5% (157)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Rantanen
Lafferty
P1
47.2%
41.6%
P2
44.8%
36.7%
P3
46.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
40.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |