Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rantanen wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.2% vs Thompson 43.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 81.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 92.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 66.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Rantanen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rantanen
Thompson
Last 9: Rantanen 3-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Rantanen
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Rantanen
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (334)
43.3% (735)
+7.6%
Power Play
43.7% (119)
50.0% (26)
-6.3%
On even strength, Rantanen has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Rantanen shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Thompson
Home
49.4% (241)
44.5% (407)
Away
48.6% (212)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Rantanen
Thompson
P1
47.1%
44.4%
P2
46.7%
44.8%
P3
51.9%
40.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |