Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Thompson 44.0% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 89.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Rantanen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rantanen
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Rantanen
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
44.6% (709)
+7.1%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
41.5% (53)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
35.1% (97)
-35.1%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Rantanen shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Thompson
Home
55.8% (258)
45.5% (426)
Away
51.8% (253)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Rantanen
Thompson
P1
50.0%
48.5%
P2
56.6%
43.8%
P3
54.3%
38.1%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |