Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 50.8% vs Dowd 53.3% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Marner 65.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Marner
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (7)
55.4% (771)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
45.5% (165)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Marner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Marner shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Marner
Dowd
Home
44.4% (9)
58.2% (462)
Away
66.7% (9)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Marner
Dowd
P1
80.0%
55.6%
P2
44.4%
50.5%
P3
33.3%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%