Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 44.8% vs Dowd 49.9% (-20.5%)
Offensive zone
Marner 88.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.8%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Marner
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (24)
52.2% (835)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
44.0% (350)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Marner is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Marner shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Marner
Dowd
Home
16.7% (18)
51.5% (619)
Away
43.8% (16)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Marner
Dowd
P1
10.0%
51.7%
P2
35.7%
51.6%
P3
40.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
29.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%